“I think we will get the hallucination problem to a much, much better place,” Altman said. “I think it will take us a year and a half, two years. Something like that. But at that point we won’t still talk about these. There’s a balance between creativity and perfect accuracy, and the model will need to learn when you want one or the other.”
What is Altman is talking about? An #LLM has no notion of truth or accuracy, so you can't just dial up some "truth coefficient."
@kentindell@chrisoffner3d In fact, I see quite a bit of similarities between what Chris has mentioned in the post cited below and the extremely dangerous assumptions that #Tesla has been using to underpin their #FSDBeta program - namely, the so-called "generalized self-driving" (no defined Operational Design Domain).
The Tesla #Autopilot Team has always embraced a very primitive safety strategy that they try to sell as "validation" - if I am being generous.
Another day, another extremely dangerous lie by #Musk that drives human driver complacency and that will result in completely avoidable death and injury.
#Tesla vehicles, at no time, can “drive themselves”.
#FSDBeta-active vehicles are not capable of “driving themselves”.
#Autopilot and #FSDBeta-equipped vehicles are Level 2-capable vehicles - with the exact same limitations as many other vehicles on the market today.
Namely, the key limitation is that the human driver must remain the fallback for any dynamic driving task or vehicle failures at all times and under all conditions.
Effectively, that means that the human has the exact same control responsibilities between the two vehicles shown below.
#Tesla hand-waves this #HumanFactors fact as well on their official Autopilot product website, as shown below.
That “relaxation”, that “workload reduction” you might feel when using #Autopilot or #FSDBeta?
Guess what that really is?
Complacency.
Deadly complacency.
And it strikes when you least expect it, when the vehicle suddenly encounters a failure and it takes you an additional second or three to regain situational and operational awareness.
#Musk’s completely unsupported and unhinged promises of future therapies, treatments or prosthetic devices enabled by his #Neuralink firm and this #Tesla “#Optimus” humanoid robotics project is pretty damn disgusting.
A new, disgusting low.
Even relative to Tesla’s vast #Autopilot and #FSDBeta wrongdoings, which is saying something.
#Musk’s completely unsupported and unhinged promises of future therapies, treatments or prosthetic devices enabled by his #Neuralink firm and this #Tesla “#Optimus” humanoid robotics project is pretty damn disgusting.
A new, disgusting low.
Even relative to Tesla’s vast #Autopilot and #FSDBeta wrongdoings, which is saying something.
What’s your favorite instance of a celebrity blocking you on Twitter?
Mine: When Marc Andreessen announced a fund for black founders and I pointed out he'd invested double the size of the fund in a single white founder's frying pan startup...
@Daojoan#Musk briefly blocked me, as a matter of fact.
(Marc blocked me too, in response to his “It’s Time to Build” essay IIRC.)
This was back around 2016 when #Tesla first really launched its #FSDBeta wrongdoings. Musk was far less followed back then (and Twitter was far less “noisy”).
I think Musk was later forced (by court order?) to unblock a lot of people because he was routinely sharing investor information on his Twitter account - so he unblocked me at some point.
And it has actually proved to be extraordinarily dangerous when #Musk lies about the capabilities and availability of #Tesla's #FSDBeta product, in particular.
The press often allows Wall Street analysts, that are not competent in #SafetyCritical systems, to advance Musk's dangerous lies.
The #SystemsSafety community has been battling this for years.
@annmlipton And here is one of the chief reasons why the #NHTSA does not challenge a dead-obvious public safety catastrophe like #Tesla’s #FSDBeta experiment.
They simply do not have to resources for a protracted legal battle with #Musk without sufficient political backing.
Musk will exhaust every avenue to maintain his wrongdoings and his future ability to expand them.
So, if it was not the case before, now that #Twitter seems to be walled off for good...
How can the #NWS and, say, The White House (as a two random examples) continue to remain solely on social media platforms that are inaccessible to millions of unregistered users?
Those exclusively on the #Fediverse, an open platform, are being actively denied public services, official policy announcements and timely emergency alerts.
Sure... I mean... to a certain degree... whatever.
#Twitter is his platform now (and is being used to project his hateful ideology and to advance his political interests).
That is a given now.
But the lying with this man.
It is simply incredible.
I have been dealing with it for years with respect to #Tesla's #FSDBeta program, but a chief executive that lies as much as #Musk, in operational control of several firms manufacturing safety-critical systems... it really makes one think.
I suppose, first, it should be recognized that the design intent for #Tesla vehicles (via the #FSDBeta program) remains entirely unclear. #Musk himself has bounced all over the place in vaguely describing the ultimate capabilities of these vehicles, only to be contradicted by his own engineers in court.
Whereas with #Waymo and #Cruise vehicles, the design intent is clearly one which embraces a no human driver fallback requirement within a well-defined, limited Operational Design Domain (ODD).
If you have followed my previous threads on the matter, I have spent months tearing down the "#FSDBeta Safety Facade" that #Tesla likes to portray.
Tesla is not maintaining a systems safety lifecycle with respect to their FSD Beta program.
And, per my Toots above, that fact can also be readily seen in the almost schizophrenic, covert vehicle hardware changes that Tesla has been forced to make over the years.
By my count, 3 or 4 major hardware changes since 2016 (when FSD Beta was announced).
Ross Gerber, a prominent #Tesla investor and advocate that was featured in my previous thread is clearly angry that his #FSDBeta-active vehicle was observed in displaying some highly-compromising behaviors.
This conversation is telling because we have really reached the "next stage" of this vast Tesla wrongdoing - organized collusion outside of Tesla.
Remember: YouTube videos and personal testimonials can never show positive safety progress in the context of a #SafetyCritical system.
Never.
Videos and personal testimonials can only display safety-related issues.
And even with organized efforts by many prominent #FSDBeta "testers" in the #Tesla community to only publish what they feel are the most visually-performant drives... I have never seen a video that did not contain serious safety-related issues (many which are "unseen").
I was at #Chicago Pride all weekend while visiting with my wife (videos and photos soon!), so I missed this #Tesla Drama concerning #FSDBeta that erupted.
Ok.
Let us, again, all put on our #SystemsSafety hats and take a look at the situation here as I understand it.
Below is the video that kicked the beehive between Tesla defenders and detractors on "what really happened?".
This clearly chaotic video was taken from a larger drive sequence in which FSD Beta was active.
The video above was extracted from the Tweet shown below.
If you do not know the players involved here...
Ross Gerber is the individual driving this #Tesla vehicle. Ross is an ardent Tesla supporter, Tesla investor and a prominent voice within the Tesla Community.
Dan O'Dowd is the individual in the passenger seat. Dan is the creator of The Dawn Project which primarily targets Tesla's #FSDBeta program in terms of what it perceives as its public safety issues.
With respect to #SafetyCritical systems, "positive assumptions of safety" are incompatible with the analysis of these systems - particularly by those outside of a systems safety lifecycle.
#Tesla is included here as well since, per my previous threads on the matter, Tesla is not maintaining a systems safety lifecycle with their #FSDBeta program.
The assumption must be made that the Tesla vehicle would have blown the stop sign.
The other thing here is that Dan O'Dowd, as a individual that has claimed to be advocating for the public's safety, should not have participated in this #FSDBeta-active drive.
There was no public safety upside here.
Zero.
None.
Only a downside.
The drive shown above revealed nothing that was not known before.
The #FSDBeta program is unsafe because, at the very least, individuals like Ross Gerber are not under a well-maintained Safety Management System when operating these "test" vehicles.
Now, after Dan O'Dowd published the above video, all kinds of #Tesla vehicle owners are rushing to this exact same area in order to "test" it for themselves (to see if their vehicles attempt to run the same stop sign).
All that does is multiply the danger to the public.
And for what?
We already know, again, that the #FSDBeta program is unsafe.
@MisterMadge@chemoelectric I did not mention it, but there is a case that must be made that if #Tesla is willing to so brazenly engage in these uniquely extreme, overt #FSDBeta wrongdoings that the systems safety of the entire vehicle lifecycle is in serious question.
But separately, sure, per the effectively non-existent auto regulations in the US (and, largely, globally) - Tesla vehicles are allowed for sale and use.