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coreyjrowe, to random

I'm canceling plans to meet up with friends today because of this. Don't trust the evening runs.

This has become normal and it's not okay

adamjcook, (edited )

@coreyjrowe It really is unsustainable. Heading to the airport tonight and I already know what to expect.

Transit is one of the top things holding this city and region back - and it is mind-boggling in the face of everyone wondering why the Metro region and the State of struggles on the population front.

Frustrating, as you know.

John, to random
@John@socks.masto.host avatar

deleted_by_author

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  • adamjcook,

    @John I did not see this!

    Thank you for sharing.

    adamjcook, to random

    I want to celebrate this more (as a huge proponent of US ), but I disagree with the ’s point-of-sale rebates for .

    Advanced manufacturing credits for some domestic production? Sure.

    Not POS vehicle rebates.

    And I believe that the POS rebates will ultimately be far more than the CBO scoring suggests.

    It was a missed opportunity to allocate those funds to broaden US manufacturing competency.

    https://emoltzen.substack.com/p/a-year-into-the-ira-billions-are

    adamjcook,

    The US has a very unhealthy relationship with and nowhere is that felt more than here in .

    The industry has damaged Detroit severely.

    The strife associated with the pending contract negotiations is indicative of this sickness.

    Automotive manufacturing will never be a road to good-paying, middle-class jobs ever again.

    We have to stop playing pretend.

    It is an industry in structural decline and we should not be throwing good money at bad like we are.

    adamjcook,

    Instead, we should have invested heavily in subsidizing domestic of advanced technologies and trainsets.

    Further, we should have heavily incentivized local governments to buildout - something that many metro areas desperately need.

    It is a deadlocked “chicken-or-the-egg” problem for many US metro areas and we needed massive funding to break the cycle.

    Instead, will be further entrenched via the ’s flaws.

    We will pay dearly for this in time.

    gs, to random
    @gs@fosstodon.org avatar

    I just tested positive for COVID 😫

    adamjcook,

    @gs Get well soon! 😓

    adamjcook, to tesla

    Here’s the thing.

    Clearly, today does not have internal engineering competence in systems.

    Competent safety-critical system engineers do not ship “beta” systems to the untrained public.

    But let’s put all that aside for a bit.

    Overworked, stressed engineers is simply incompatible with the exacting work of safety-critical systems anyways.

    https://www.theverge.com/2023/8/16/23833447/tesla-elon-musk-ultra-hardcore-employees-land-of-the-giants

    adamjcook,

    The floor is also a safety-critical system - in terms of its impact on employees and in terms of the safety of the public.

    An improperly assembled automobile is an immediate public safety hazard the very moment it rolls off the lot.

    It’s not a hypothetical.

    Maintaining a system safety lifecycle is brutally expensive and much more expensive than one would think.

    Silicon Valley culture, frankly, just seems incompatible with that reality on multiple fronts.

    kentindell, to random
    @kentindell@mastodon.social avatar

    deleted_by_author

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  • adamjcook,

    @kentindell Some great quotes from you in there!

    @lorakolodny has always had consistently great reporting on these aspects - uniquely so.

    adamjcook, to twitter

    It is interesting watching (from afar) sheepishly backtrack on the hype.

    There were three, maybe four ringleaders as far as I could tell - which included some that are competent in science and physics that should have known better.

    But whipping up useless hype gets people paid by Twitter at the moment.

    It all really underscores my position on how unsuitable Twitter is for actual science and public education - and that was fairly true even in the pre- Twitter Era.

    adamjcook,

    Some (perhaps even many) have now argued that the hype was, in fact, good for science.

    Sure, if the public was left with an understanding of actual scientific foundations so that, possibly, the next conversations could be more productive and informed.

    A missed opportunity, if there ever was one.

    But, crucially, one that us in former “System Safety Twitter” community know all too well - and there, the hype has killed people.

    adamjcook,

    Believe it or not, the underlying foundations of developing an automated driving system is scientific in nature.

    A carefully controlled and exhaustively managed process of safety that must be maintained to directly influence system design.

    But “AI hype” easily eclipsed that.

    The experts that had tried to explain that on were always marginalized - and some were even viscously attacked.

    Ditto for vaccine experts.

    The parallels with the Twitter dynamics are obvious.

    chrisoffner3d, to llm

    “I think we will get the hallucination problem to a much, much better place,” Altman said. “I think it will take us a year and a half, two years. Something like that. But at that point we won’t still talk about these. There’s a balance between creativity and perfect accuracy, and the model will need to learn when you want one or the other.”

    What is Altman is talking about? An has no notion of truth or accuracy, so you can't just dial up some "truth coefficient."

    https://fortune.com/2023/08/01/can-ai-chatgpt-hallucinations-be-fixed-experts-doubt-altman-openai/

    adamjcook,

    @kentindell @chrisoffner3d In fact, I see quite a bit of similarities between what Chris has mentioned in the post cited below and the extremely dangerous assumptions that has been using to underpin their program - namely, the so-called "generalized self-driving" (no defined Operational Design Domain).

    The Tesla Team has always embraced a very primitive safety strategy that they try to sell as "validation" - if I am being generous.

    https://sigmoid.social/@chrisoffner3d/110846996819755228

    adamjcook,

    @kentindell @chrisoffner3d The fact is that a automated driving system that does not require a human driver fallback under any conditions over an unbounded ODD would require a engineered system such that it would be capable of validating itself, continuously.

    has never remotely offered up a safety case to achieve that.

    No one has.

    Instead, they just sloppily scope it as a "software problem" and toss it out there, as you are aware.

    adamjcook, to detroit

    I have said it before, and I will keep saying it...

    Nothing has damaged and more than the industry - from multiple fronts and multiple perspectives.

    And although I believe that some public officials here are starting to (finally) recognize that, we must be far more aggressive in shifting away from this industry in Michigan.

    The amount of state incentives that have currently been spent on facilities is too much at this point.

    adamjcook,

    I look at the current contract negotiations from that perspective.

    Auto workers absolutely deserve a larger, better share of the US economy then they are getting today, no question... but it will be all but impossible to obtain that via an industry that is in terminal decline (and should decline).

    UAW members need better, more diverse outlets for their skills and talents.

    I know it is difficult, but needs to really internalize that - and very, very soon.

    adamjcook,

    @DiePARTEI_Leverkusen Indeed, to some degree.

    Although the political value of (middle-class jobs and a very important state to win for US presidential elections) coupled with its outsized dependence on manufacturing... absolutely shape the horrid policy across the US.

    Detroit really does define the whole US in many ways that are not healthy.

    And we are capable of so much more. I know we are. I can feel it in my bones. I can see it with my eyes.

    adamjcook, to LK99

    On synthesizing and evaluating the potential superconducting properties of

    I really am starting to be convinced that live-streamed “open science” via social media is a net negative.

    It seems that amateur claims and leaps have, once again, handily eclipsed competent commentary in a extremely complex field.

    It erodes public trust and respect for actual scientific inquiry and rigor - and I would submit that the boom in “science” we see is a natural byproduct.

    adamjcook,

    I think also, tangentially, it speaks to the difficulty (or near-impossibility) that systems safety experts have had (over the last 6-7 years or so) in punching through the “” hype in scrutinizing so-called “self driving-cars” - and people have died due to that.

    This is especially true with respect to ’s program where Tesla customers (and some prominent members of the Community) are convinced that legitimate science is being conducted on public roadways.

    adamjcook,

    @faassen Yup. I saw that. In several places.

    It is "science-by-video"... which is anything but science.

    Zero rigor and zero introspection by most on the limitations of their own competencies.

    I really think it speaks to my broader position that especially (and to some degree, also) have really devolved into extremely low-quality mediums for public education and factual knowledge - despite the presence of many competent scientists and engineers on them.

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