Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01818-x
The WAIS is losing mass and is Antarctica’s largest contributor to sea-level rise ... Continued trends in ice-shelf melting have the potential to cause irreversible retreat of the WAIS glaciers, which together contain enough ice to raise global mean sea-level by 5.3 m.
In other news, sales of large SUVs continue to rise...
Der durch die Klimaerwärmung viel zu warme Atlantik bringt ein Regengebiet nach dem anderen nach Deutschland: In Niedersachsen soll es nun jeden Tag (bis nächsten Donnerstag) regnen...
Any guesses on what the doomsday clock will say this year? 1991 was the best year for the clock. It moved back 17 mins due to the end of the Cold War. Last year was the closest ever at 90secs.
One of the problems we have in talking about #Covid19 events and impacts is medical technical domains using a common word for a specific meaning then that word reentering common discourse in its original meaning, often with political intent to minimize.
Mild is a term of art meaning "not hospitalized".
Colloquially it means "less symptoms, common, not a problem, I can ignore it" = "less risky"
So has hospitalization gone down? In absolute numbers no. We have hospitalization numbers exceeding wave 1 even in face of the with/for data obfuscation effort due to massive transmission. We just accept that now.
Has per capita death event probability gone down? Due to a massive vaccination campaign, yes, on a single event basis.
Has risk gone down? Absolutely not. There are many more outcomes than death or ICU. There is significant evidence that risk compounds with reinfections.
Georgi Marinov just commented that the risk impact may be a J curve under reinfection, and that bears thinking about. It is also a time will tell outcome.
"It's milder now", "it will evolve to a cold", "it's spread by droplets" all have zero basis in published scientific papers.
It's all just minimization stories to drive #DontLookUp
#ClimateDiary It just does my head in that the billionaires who are destroying our world are all building bunkers for themselves and yet the rest of the world continues to admire them, bedazzled, distracted by the billionaires social media platforms
My advice to militaries and defence organisations? Plan and prepare for a 2°C world now. You need to build the strategic capabilities and capacities now. You need to establish specialist branches for dealing with climate change consequences now, in addition to your war-fighting functions.
#DontLookUp has been written on the wall for a while now... And I expect preparations for disaster will be as delayed, unfair and ineffective as climate catastrophe prevention.
Did Adam McKay rip off the plot for "Don't Look Up?" A Louisiana-based author is suing the director and Netflix for copyright infringement, saying the satirical movie is "strikingly similar" to his 2012 novel, "Stanley's Comet." The Hollywood Reporter has all the details.
Whoever thought that it was a good idea to bring the world together at a country whose ideology perpetuates barbarous #HumanRights abuses, its economy is completely dependent on polluting #FossilFuels, and its leadership is headed by a corrupt, misogynistic #ClimateChange denialist oligarch...
Während die FDP statt fossiler Subventionen lieber bei sozialen Ausgaben kürzen möchte und die CDU/CSU wegen der fehlenden 60 Milliarden direkt das ganze Heizungsgesetz streichen will, wurde erstmals die 2°C-Marke der globalen Temperaturen geknackt. #dontlookup
What #astronomers learned from a near-Earth asteroid they never saw coming
No one spotted space rock 2023 NT1 until two days after it missed us.
By Briley Lewis | Published Nov 1, 2023
"In the summer, astronomers spotted an airplane-sized asteroid—large enough to potentially destroy a city—on an almost-collision course with Earth. But no one saw the space rock until two days after it had zoomed past our planet.
"This asteroid, named 2023 NT1, passed by us at only one-fourth of the distance from Earth to the moon. That’s far too close for comfort. Astronomers weren’t going to let this incident go without a post-mortem. They’ve recently dissected what went wrong and how we can better prepare to defend our planet from future impacts, in a new paper recently posted to the preprint server arXiv.
"We know from history that asteroids can cause world-shattering events and extinctions—just look at what happened to the dinosaurs. The study team estimated that, if NT1 hit Earth, it could have the energy of anywhere from 4 to 80 intercontinental ballistic missiles. '2023 NT1 would have been much worse than the Chelyabinsk airburst,' says University of California, Santa Barbara astronomer Philip Lubin, a co-author on the new work, referring to the meteor that exploded over a Russian city in 2013. As devastating as that would be, it’s 'not an existential threat like the 10-kilometer hit that killed our previous tenants,' he adds.
"The asteroid-monitoring system ATLAS, the 'Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System”—four telescopes in Hawaii, Chile, and South Africa—discovered NT1 after the rock flew by. ATLAS’s entire purpose is to scour the skies for space rocks that might threaten Earth. So with this set of eyes on the sky, how did we miss it?
"It turns out that Earth has what Brin Bailey, UC Santa Barbara astronomer and lead author on the paper, calls a “blindspot.” Any asteroid coming from the direction of the sun gets lost in the glare of our nearest star.” There’s another way for asteroids to sneak up on us, too: the smaller the asteroid, the harder it is for our telescopes to spot them, even when the rocks come from parts in the sky away from the sun.
“'Currently, there is no planetary defense system which can mitigate short-warning threats,' Bailey says. 'While NT1 has no chance of intercepting Earth in the future, it serves as a reminder that we do not have complete situational awareness of all potential threats in the solar system,” they add. That leads to Lesson #1: We simply need better detection methods for planetary defense."
Auch wenn eine Corona-Erkrankung für viele Menschen den Schrecken verloren hat, kann sie unter Umständen schwer verlaufen. Politiker und Hausärzte beklagen, dass sich derzeit zu wenige Menschen - auch aus Risikogruppen - impfen lassen.
@tagesschau Gegenfrage:
Klima und Covid (hier besonders Long-) ist nicht so euer "Ding" oder?
Zumindest bei diesen beiden Themenbereichen seid ihr ja nicht gerade hilfreich.
Der ÖRR sollte eigentlich über Zusammenhänge berichten und aufklären. #4teGewalt
Nennt sich Journalismus. Das heisst auch Relevanz für die Allgemeinheit abwägen und entsprechend platzieren bzw. Zeit einräumen. #Klima#Pflege#Covid#energie#Verkehrswende
Zusatzfrage: Wie kommt es dass z.B. die Tagesschau vor 20-40Jahren schon um vieles weiter war (als heute) wenn es um die Berichterstattung über das Klima ging.
Schleswig-Holstein muss sich auf eine schwere Sturmflut an der Ostseeküste einstellen. An der gesamten Küste werde der Wasserstand 1,50 Meter oder mehr über das mittlere Hochwasser steigen, teilte das Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH) mit. 🌊
In der Flensburger Förde werden bis Sonnabendmittag sogar Wasserstände von bis zu zwei Metern über dem Normalwert erreicht - zuletzt gab es solche Stände 1904. 🌬️
[P] If you're following a bunch of climate scientists, as we are, then it might not surprise you that we expect the Doomsday Clock to drop to one minute at the next meeting. I mean, it's incredible how fucked we are—but social identity hive drones don't want to listen to climate scientists, they want to listen to the parasitic psychopaths they worship and idolise. Neurotypicality really is a disorder.
Les grad wieder was, wie die Lebensgrundlagen der Menschheit bewahrt werden können. Aber dann frag ich mich halt auch: wozu eigentlich? Damit sich unsere Nachkommen auch in 1000 Jahren noch gegenseitig mit Raketen beschießen können?
@Fischblog#DontLookUp macht das imo ganz gut. Während des FIlms hat man oft das Gefühl, die Menschheit hätte es nicht besser verdient. Dann bringt der Film immer wieder diese vordergründig zusammenhangslosen Zusammenschnitte eigentlich trivialer Szenen, die zeigen, wofür es sich doch zu kämpfen gelohnt hätte.
BMF (salle d'attente de l'hôpital) à propos de la météo, l'animatrice au présentateur météo à propos des températures 5 degrés au-dessus des normales:
"La bonne nouvelle c'est que ça va durer !?"