Polster Pradeep Gupta Of Axis My India Exit Poll Fame Breaks Down On Live TV After being teased by host that his prediction of 400 seats was very wrong
I think Democrats at all levels should shut the fck up right now. Stop feeding the (corporate, right-wing owned - Politco? Axel Springer) media's war on our democracy. It's part of the goddam plot, dipshts:
Step 1: Media (again, and I can't emphasize this enough - it's almost all owned by oligarchs at this point - Univision is s ary) builds an expectation that Trump can or will win.
Step 2: Trump loses.
Step 3: Run the "Stop the Steal" play again.
It’s PA #primary day! Make sure you get out and #vote or at least drop off your mail in #ballot! Volunteering at my local #polling place. (If you identify as a hacker, you should be too.) (and yes, we actually have a candidate named #bizzarro.)
"[Polls] have been weaponized, cheapened, commoditized, and mass-produced to tell the American public what to believe . . . rather than reporting on what the American public actually believes.
Why does the media engage in such amoral and deceptive practices? To reinforce their editorial bias and increase sales."
Can anyone telling my why my #polling card (for the election of a regional police commissioner) has the following text underneath the polling station address:
Wenn ich in #CalyxOS#microg an habe mit push notification, scheint mit #signal das dennoch nicht zu nutzten, sondern aktiviert #polling ... zu sehen am immer laufenden "Signal - Hintergrundverbindungen aktiviert" ...
Mentimeter.com was my favourite go to-page for quick measuring of understanding or student well being in the classroom. As several other services even this service is now some kind of freemium, from free for most use cases.
What's your best free alternative for polling in the classroom or faculty?
The polling industry's probs get far more attention than sloppy reporting on and analysis of the polls.
The DMR says #Trump's support "dipped" by 3 in IA since their last poll, #Haley's taken 2nd , #DeSantis has "fallen" by 3, etc. But the poll has a MOE of +/- 3.7, so these aren't factual statements!
The incentive here is obvious. 'Everything looks pretty much the same as it did in out previous poll' doesn't make for an interesting horse race.
1-3-24 Nicole Sandler Show – Words Matter with Anat Shenker-Osorio
I'm thrilled to welcome Anat Shenker-Osorio back to the show. It's been a while -- the last time she was here was in July of 2014! Yes, she's been trying to help progressives win elections for many years and I thought this was the perfect time to have her impart some of her wisdom to our listeners.
As she explains at the st https://nicolesandler.com/1-3-24/ #NicolesBlog#AnatShenkerOsario#elections#messaging#polling
This is a barely-veiled call for #Trump's supporters to #intimidate#voters and poll workers. He's hoping a #J6-like #mob shows up at #polling locations to #interfere with #voting and cause #chaos. Trump will then use the chaos he himself incited to claim the vote counts can't be trusted. How many time do we have to watch this asshole make the same play?
"Last week demonstrated the sorry state of political coverage in this country. The fixation on early, non-predictive polling...
Tuesday night, cable news panelists appeared to be at a loss to explain Democrats’ triumph. Well, for the umpteenth time, we see that polling isn’t all that predictive. Aside from low-response rates and flawed modeling, polls simply don’t reflect how voters think." https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/12/political-coverage-broken/
"It’s past time to reevaluate #political coverage. #Polling fixation is unenlightening if not misleading. (Maybe get out of the crystal-ball business entirely?)...
Many #media outlets after #Jan6 2021, vowed to focus more on threats to #democracy...
However, most are stuck in overhyped horse-race coverage & endless chatter over meaningless #Republican debates.
Did ANY of the polling companies predict Tuesday's electoral outcome?
No - not even close.
Actually, the polling companies have failed to see or anticipate ANY of the Democratic "surprise victories" in the past four election cycles. That's because the polling companies themselves don't know how to ask the right questions. Consider, too, who has the time to spend answering pollster questions.
Polling is a snapshot of nothing pretending to be a snapshot of something.
In Response to #trumpStooge#maga_cult Charlie Kirk claiming #Taylor#Swift will lead to a spike in young women voting, #Swifties are now planning to make friendships bracelets (as Taylor’s fandom does for her concerts) for #polling locations and #voter registration.
"Tuesday night’s results are difficult to square with the 'Biden and Democrats are doomed' narrative. In an off-year election, with the incumbent president’s approval rating mired below 40 percent, you would normally expect the president’s party to be stomped, crushed, spindled, and obliterated."
@wdlindsy#USApolitics along those lines, yesterday I started seeing the pundits push back with claims 'political polling is not broken, but <random cause> is why the results were different than the polling'. There is too much money in polling and the analysis of that polling for the pundit industry to give up easily on outdated polling methods. Plus bad polling is often used as a political weapon by the pundit class. #polling#Biden
A push poll a fake poll which is designed not to gather results but to push a campaign’s talking points. So, for example, it might ask questions like: “What do you think about Candidate X’s habit of raping sheep?”
A suppression poll is a fake poll which is designed to yield the desired results. It uses biased, ambiguous, and misleading questions to ensure that the “right” candidate wins. The purpose here is to then publish the fake poll to convince supporters of the “doomed” candidate to stay home.