crypticvalentine, to random
@crypticvalentine@mastodon.social avatar

Michael Heseltine has warned that the 2024 general election campaign “will be the most dishonest in modern times” because of the refusal of the main parties to debate the consequences of Brexit....... https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/michael-heseltine-brexit-eu-general-election-b2551718.html

sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

The BJP and BJD, who were allies once, are now locked in a bitter contest for the 21 Parliamentary constituencies and 147 Assembly constituencies in Odisha. What are the factors driving the Odisha contest? Can the BJP edge past the BJD in the state? Today's Number Theory answer these questions in detail.

Link to read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-can-bjp-edge-past-bjd-in-bitter-odisha-contest-101716783051542.html

@mastodonindians

What led to the BJP’s rise in Odisha? The intuitive answer is that it has usurped the Congress’s support base. The Congress and BJP vote shares were 32.7% and 16.9% in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections in Odisha. These numbers changed to 13.8% and 38.4% in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. However, a careful analysis suggests that the actual dynamics in the state could be more complicated. Out of the 6 PCs that the Congress won in 2009, 5 were won by the BJD in 2014 and only 1 by the BJP. Similarly, out of the 27 ACs won by the Congress in 2009, 18 went to the BJD and just two to the BJP in 2014. The BJP won eight PCs in 2019, and out of this, seven were won by the BJD in 2014. The Congress did not win any PCs in 2014. Out of the 23 ACs that the BJP won in 2019, as many as 18 were previously won by the BJD. This suggests that the BJD has taken away the traditional support of the Congress before 2019 and now the BJP is wresting back some of it from the BJP. A region-wise analysis supports this theory. 4 out of the 6 PCs won by the Congress in 2009 came from Western Odisha. The Congress first lost ground to the BJD in this region in 2014. But by 2019, the BJD ceded a lot of space to the BJP in this part of the state. Although, the BJD was able to become the single largest party in the state assembly from Western Odisha in 2019, it had to field the party supremo Naveen Patnaik from an AC in the region for the first time in his political journey to ensure popular support.
Has the BJD regained some of its lost ground after 2019? While the BJP saw a significant increase in its seat share and vote share in both Lok Sabha and Assembly elections in Odisha in 2019, the BJD might have, at least to some extent, been able to rein in the BJP's rising popularity in the state since. The biggest evidence for this comes from the rural local body polls held in the state in 2022. Out of the 853 Zilla Parishad seats (ZP) in the state, the BJD won 767 in 2022, bringing its ZP seat share to 89.92%. In the previous rural local body election in 2017, the BJD's ZP seat share stood at 56.07%. In comparison, the BJP's ZP seat share fell from 35% in 2017 to 4.9% in 2022. Even within Western Odisha, the BJD's seat share rose from 25.5% to 86.5%, while that of the BJP fell from 61.5% to 9.3%. whether or not the BJP can buck this local level trend in a national and state election will be known on June 4.

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

Edouard Philippe s'attire la foudre de Jupiter en critiquant ses appels au débat avec Marine Le Pen: "C’est… surprenant", a lâché l'ex-Premier ministre sur LCI. "Macron peut bien se fâcher, Edouard a raison de prendre du champ de ce désastre", le défend un soutien. Il faut dire que le niveau de haine du président envers le maire du Havre est connu, lui qui le traite régulièrement de "connard"

alexf24, to random
@alexf24@mstdn.social avatar

Atlas, Thugged
Trump Versus The Libertarians.

RICK WILSON
MAY 26, 2024

Someone is getting fired over this one.

Last night, Donald Trump had one of the most hilariously terrible speeches in front or one of the most hostile audiences I’ve ever seen....

https://substack.com/inbox/post/144992080

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

Macron se dit « prêt à débattre maintenant avec Marine Le Pen » avant les élections Européennes le 9 juin dans un entretien avec Le Parisien. Le président veut rejouer 2017. Mais les Français sont-ils prêts à l’écouter après 7 ans de pouvoir?

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

Marine Le Pen répond à Macron: "Je ne viens pas quand on me siffle" et pose comme condition à un débat la "démission ou la dissolution de l’Assemblée en cas d’échec" aux Européennes, répond la cheffe des députés RN au Parisien. Des scénarios qui ne sont plus si fous, rappelez-vous je les ai déjà évoqué. Pas de majorité, un désaveu massif, une absence de collaborateurs (essorés ou partis à l'opposition...).

SteveThompson, to politics
@SteveThompson@mastodon.social avatar

"Here Come the Russians, Again"

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/05/here-come-the-russians-again/

"The director of national intelligence recently warned that Russia remains 'the most active foreign threat to our elections.'”

_ohcoco_, to oregon
@_ohcoco_@mastodon.social avatar
VCDeV, to Bulgaria German
@VCDeV@mstdn.social avatar

Die CDU startet eine Kampagne gegen das Verbrenner-Aus auf EU-Ebene. Übrigens nur wenige Tage nach dem Start einer ähnlichen Kampagne von Le Pens Rassemblement National. Auf der folgenden Seite können wir der CDU mitteilen, dass der Verbrenner verschwinden muss: https://aktion.cdu.de/ja-zum-auto

Denn: Wenn schon Auto, dann muss es elektrisch mit erneuerbaren Energien angetrieben werden!

grivettcarnac, to Canada
@grivettcarnac@mstdn.social avatar

Dropping a random prediction: Trudeau will resign as Liberal leader this summer. Do I have any specific reasons for this? No. I’m a politically connected nobody. But he can stay on and lose to Pierre, even though he wants a no-gloves campaign against him, but why be another Harper, who knew he had no chance in 2015? I think walking away would be a clutch move for him and take all the wind out of “vote for us because Trudeau is the reason for X, Y, Z” #cdnpoli #canada #elections

DziadekMick, to random
@DziadekMick@mstdn.social avatar

My favourite take on and is by Ian Dunt (inews):

Sunak outlined his election stategy — to vote for him and him alone, as the only leader with a plan. Standing outside in the rain without an umbrella and getting soaked — a perfect example of a man who hasn’t planned at all.

DSDJ3147, to random
@DSDJ3147@mastodon.social avatar

Lower court judge criticize

“reflects a deep distrust of ordinary people” in direct conflict w/the Constit. In the same way we trust the collective judgment of voters in we must trust the judgment of jurors in deciding cases, Reeves wrote. They can resolve tensions & contradictions case by case, as the evidence dictates. All must do is tell jurors the truth.” -Judge Carlton Reeves, US Dist Court, MS

https://apple.news/AMvVYXDR1QGqLy5p02IHwqQ

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

Bardella répète qu'il n'est pas concerné par le scandale des emplois fictifs du FN au Parlement européen. Le candidat RN, alors âgé de 19 ans, avait perçu 1.470 euros net par mois pour un emploi à mi-temps comme assistant parlementaire pour... rédiger "une revue de presse sur le Grand Est" sans mettre les pieds à Bruxelles. Une sinécure... https://www.challenges.fr/politique/affaire-des-emplois-fictifs-europeens-du-rn-revelations-sur-le-contrat-de-jordan-bardella_893825

Remittancegirl, to uk
@Remittancegirl@mstdn.social avatar

I would like to try and persuade people in the UK to make sure they are registered to vote and to get out and do so.

I suspect a significant number of you feel no desire to vote because you feel the system itself is rigged against you.

This makes you feel apathetic and disenfranchised.

The Tory government has done pretty much everything in its power to make you feel exactly this way.

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

La Nupes, alliance progammatique ou électorale nationale contrainte par un mode de scrutin majoritaire défavorable? Les usagers débattent et ça part en baston... N'hésitez pas à participer dans le respect etc. https://mastodon.social/@altyr@tiksi.net/112486690465954943

NewsDesk, to uk
@NewsDesk@flipboard.social avatar

U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak calls for a July 4 general election, as polls show Conservative Party in trouble.

NBC News reports: "Most polls suggest that if the vote were held tomorrow, the opposition Labour Party could enjoy a landslide win that would make Sir Keir Starmer the country's leader."

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/uk-election-pm-sunak-calls-vote-conservatives-labour-rcna153440

ai6yr, to politics
ProPublica, to Michigan
@ProPublica@newsie.social avatar

Scenes From a Meltdown: Inside the “America First” Movement’s War Over Democracy

Across the country, the Party’s rank-and-file have turned on the establishment.

In , this schism broke the party — and maybe itself.

https://www.propublica.org/article/michigan-republicans-maga-meltdown-democracy-elections?utm_medium=social&utm_source=mastodon&utm_campaign=mastodon-post

JuanWild, to Canada
@JuanWild@newsie.social avatar

betting odds Canada next PM:
Conservative-800
Liberals+550..
NDP+1200......

ClubTeleMatique, to Bulgaria
@ClubTeleMatique@mstdn.social avatar
KimPerales, to random
@KimPerales@toad.social avatar

was wildly successful. /Rs continue to lie, & convince voters that many are 'rigged' *many know it's false, but the lie works. There's not enough media coverage about ample evidence: elections in the US are free & fair.

When a board in tiny Delta Co, MI, refused to certify its local election results for a co. Comm'r race last week, the decision raised concerns among election experts & officials about where the 2024 campaign could land in Nov.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/michigan-county-refuses-to-certify-vote-growing-election-threat/

paul_denton, to random French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

Coup de mou chez les Macronistes pour les Européennes après le coup de pression de Macron: "Le président exige 22% mais ce sera déjà bien si on ne se fait pas bouffer par Glucksmann, se lamente une huile du parti. On n'a pas le temps de faire campagne entre la Nouvelle Calédonie, l'évasion dans l'Eure et la mort des deux agents de la pénitentiaire, l'inflation... C'est du tout-cuit pour Bardella". Sortez les mouchoirs!

ahimsa_pdx, to oregon
@ahimsa_pdx@disabled.social avatar

🚨 Reminder:

Tomorrow is election day for Oregonians. Ballots must be taken to a drop box or postmarked by 8 PM Tuesday, May 21.

All registered voters should have received voters' pamphlets and ballots automatically (I love our vote by mail system ❤️) but here's your reminder in case you stashed them somewhere and forgot.

Local elections can have a big impact!

I spent the morning doing my research and voting at home 😁

#USPol #Oregon #Elections #Voting #VoteByMail #VoteAtHome

paul_denton, to Starwars French
@paul_denton@mastodon.social avatar

"Le sombre monarque débarque et étale son pouvoir
La puissance de l'ombre s'installe
Non, ne résiste pas, ne lutte pas
Ne te détourne pas de la main tendue vers toi
Ou je vais explorer le royaume de tes peurs" IAM dénonçait la corruption de Gaudin en 1997 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CW4PtgKDc1k

SteveThompson, to journalism
@SteveThompson@mastodon.social avatar

Most journalists aren't equipped to not fall into this trap. Keeping in mind, journalists have partisan biases, too. Journalists vote.

"Don't fall for MAGA's 'election integrity' con job"

https://www.salon.com/2024/05/19/dont-fall-for-magas-election-integrity-con-job/

"Journalists — and the rest of us — need to quit parroting Republicans' transparent lies about voting"

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