#Sahel, #Niger und #Ukraine – Außenministerin Annalena Baerbock reist nach Toledo in Spanien. Dort kommen heute und morgen die 🇪🇺-Außenminister*innen zum informellen Treffen zusammen. Mehr zur Tagesordnung des #Gymnich Treffens bei diplo.de 👉 www.diplo.de/2614076
The reported death of the leader of the Russian mercenary group, Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin in a plane crash yesterday has raised tension and speculations around the world especially concerning the alleged plot by the militant group to back the military junta in Niger Republic....
Schulze in Westafrika: Eine Reise im Zeichen des Niger-Konflikts
Entwicklungsministerin Schulze startet heute ihre viertägige Westafrika-Reise. Erste Station ist Mauretanien, danach geht es weiter nach Nigeria. Bei den Gesprächen steht vor allem der Niger-Konflikt im Mittelpunkt. Von Nina Amin.
This is a one source piece by AP, but might be right:
Niger’s #junta rulers ask for help from #Russian group #Wagner as it faces military intervention threat
During the latest strikes on the port of Izmail, Russia damaged 40,000 tons of grain destined for African countries, China, and Israel, Minister of Community Development, Territories and Infrastructure Kubrakov reported.
@noelreports
Rumors of a coup attempt in #SierraLeone as fears of 'coup contagion' continue to rise. What we are seeing in #Niger and the #Sahel is a nightmare scenario for the U.S. Concerns over spillover into coastal West Africa. Jihadis empowered, Russian mercenaries filling power vacuums.
All around the globe, democracy is being challenged. I think that the more drastic steps they're willing to take is related to the fossil fuel industry's efforts to stop #ClimateAction
#Russia says it's destroyed three #Ukrainian unmanned boats that were trying to attack two Russian #naval ships in the #BlackSea. The defence ministry said it happened in the early hours, three-hundred and forty kilometres south-west of #Sevastopol in #Crimea
Ukrainian #marine#drones were said to have been behind an attack two weeks ago on the bridge linking occupied Crimea with Russia. (cont.)
#BBCWorldService news on #Niger :
The military juntas in #Burkina Faso and #Mali have raised the stakes in the #Sahel region by declaring that that they would view any foreign military intervention in Niger as a declaration of #war against themselves. Since last week's #coup in Niger, the regional bloc #ECOWAS has threatened to use force to reinstate President Mohamed #Bazoum (cont.)
It has a lot of interesting stuff you might not heard about: #uranium , #fertility rate, #German training base, #US investment in #Agadez , #Russia - Africa summit, #Wagner, Dugin, etc - please tune in and let me know if you have any questions
Geographic definitions of the #Sahel region vary. Commonly, it stretches from #Senegal on the Atlantic coast, through parts of #Mauritania, #Mali, #BurkinaFaso, #Niger, #Nigeria, #Chad and #Sudan to #Eritrea on the Red Sea coast.
Now add to this map, the latest military coups (incl. Wagner/Russia or not):
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has deployed Beninese President Patrice Talon to the Niger Republic over the unfolding tension in the country. On Wednesday morning, a heavy military presence was reported at the presidential palace in Niamey, Niger’s capital city.
Update: The #AfricanUnion has given the #Niger coup perpetrators until the middle of August to undo their coup, or face "extreme sanctions". That would presumably included suspending the country's #AU membership.
Die Bundeswehr soll aus Mali abziehen, die Zusammenarbeit mit der Region aber gestärkt werden. Entwicklungsministerin Schulze will jetzt die Präsidentschaft der Sahel-Allianz übernehmen. Von Nina Amin und Viktoria Kleber.
...surface temperatures 👉affect rainfall and storms in #Brazil, #India, the #Sahel region of #Africa, and the southwestern #UnitedStates. The higher temperatures also help to strengthen storms that form in the eastern Atlantic and eventually spawn #hurricanes, scientists say." (2)
What has #Russia been up to in the Central #African Republic?
We explore this in BBC Monitoring's latest #TheGlobalJigsaw#podcast episode - a long labour of love for me and all featured in it. Subscribe, listen, share - a second part looking at Russia in the #Sahel will be out next week and more episodes to come on our interconnected worlds
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) press release 17. May 2023 - "There is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global #temperature between 2023 and 2027 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year. There is a 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record.
“This report does not mean that we will permanently exceed the 1.5°C level specified in the Paris Agreement which refers to long-term warming over many years. However, WMO is sounding the alarm that we will breach the 1.5°C level on a temporary basis with increasing frequency,” said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas.
“A warming El Niño is expected to develop in the coming months and this will combine with human-induced climate change to push global temperatures into uncharted territory,” he said. “This will have far-reaching repercussions for health, food security, water management and the environment. We need to be prepared,” said Prof. Taalas."
Key points
The average global temperature in 2022 was about 1.15°C above the 1850-1900 average. The cooling influence of La Niña conditions over much of the past three years temporarily reined in the longer-term warming trend. But La Niña ended in March 2023 and an El Niño is forecast to develop in the coming months. Typically, El Niño increases global temperatures in the year after it develops – in this case this would be 2024.
The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.8°C higher than the 1850-1900 average. This is used as a baseline because it was before the emission of greenhouse gases from human and industrial activities.
There is a 98% chance of at least one in the next five years beating the temperature record set in 2016, when there was an exceptionally strong El Niño.
The chance of the five-year mean for 2023-2027 being higher than the last five years is also 98%.
#Arctic warming is disproportionately high. Compared to the 1991-2020 average, the temperature anomaly is predicted to be more than three times as large as the global mean anomaly when averaged over the next five northern hemisphere extended winters.
Predicted precipitation patterns for the May to September 2023-2027 average, compared to the 1991-2020 average, suggest increased rainfall in the #Sahel, northern #Europe, #Alaska and northern #Siberia, and reduced rainfall for this season over the #Amazon and parts of #Australia.
Niger Crisis: Concerns in Niger as Wagner boss, Prigozhin, dies In plane crash (leadership.ng)
The reported death of the leader of the Russian mercenary group, Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin in a plane crash yesterday has raised tension and speculations around the world especially concerning the alleged plot by the militant group to back the military junta in Niger Republic....
Niger Coup: Economic Community of West African States Deploys Benin President To Niger (www.thetidenewsonline.com)
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has deployed Beninese President Patrice Talon to the Niger Republic over the unfolding tension in the country. On Wednesday morning, a heavy military presence was reported at the presidential palace in Niamey, Niger’s capital city.
Cameroon Hosted Sahel Cross-Boundary Pastoralists Forum Proposes Peacekeeping (www.voanews.com)
Ministers from eight of Africa's Sahel region countries are meeting in Cameroon to try to end conflicts between farmers and nomadic herders