"Using sea-level rise models and migration data gleaned from the latest U.S. Census, the paper projects that outmigration from coastal areas could increase the median age in those places by as much as 10 years over the course of this century. That’s almost as much as the difference between the median age in the United States and the median age in Japan, which is among the world’s most elderly countries."
The San Antonio Current knows how to write a lede: bravo!
" Despite Abbott's claim that it's 'pathetic' to blame migration on climate change, experts say extreme weather events in Central America have displaced millions. "
Because this story can be spun (and Abbott has done so masterfully. He is not "stupid", he is savvily using immigrants for his own purposes, see next post).
Nomad Century
How Climate Migration Will Reshape Our World
"We are facing a species emergency. We can survive, but to do so will require a planned and deliberate migration of a kind humanity has never before undertaken. This is the biggest human crisis you've never heard of."
It’s starting with insurers. When homes are destroyed and homeowners lose everything, with no recourse, market forces herd people away from the zones of greatest vulnerability:
Tech workers who fled to Austin during the pandemic are being repelled — Austin is #3 in the country for outmigration now — by a summer that has smashed all records for heat, with well over a month of days above 100 degrees.
This is a profoundly different weather than Austin had 20 or 30 years ago.
In areas most vulnerable to climate change-enhanced disasters, like Florida, the cost of home insurance has gone up so much that it’s now affecting how much lenders will give — potentially pushing many out of the home ownership market altogether.
Others are risking having no insurance at all, gambling on complete financial ruin should their home be damaged or destroyed.
One thing I've discovered in my own reporting is how many incipient threats are just waiting in the wings, for a single bad season, a single black swan event to make entire towns uninhabitable.
People who don't live out west don't know this, but entire towns have burned to the ground, forcing everyone to leave.
A prime example: Grizzly Flats, California.
1,200 residents. Most of their homes burned to the ground in 2021
"As people question how livable the world will be in a warming future, a narrative around #ClimateMigration and “#ClimateHavens” has emerged.
These “climate havens” are areas touted by researchers, public officials and city planners as natural refuges from extreme climate conditions.
But they aren’t disaster-proof – or necessarily ready for the changing #climate."
"As of August 19, 5,814 fires had burned 13,944,486 hectares (34,457,575 acres) about four percent of the entire forest area of Canada and more than five times the long-term average of 2.42 million ha (6.0 million acres) for that time of the year."
Researchers found that Central Appalachia could see a wave of climate-related migration. Early findings point to the need for robust infrastructure investments to support potentially growing population.
"If Lustgarten and the scientists he cites are right, tens of millions of Americans, or more, will pack up and move to them. If #ClimateMigration on that scale comes to pass, it will dwarf the Dust Bowl migration of the 1930s.
Lustgarten’s central argument is that #HomeInsurance companies and government subsidies are perversely masking risks in threatened areas, making migration overdue."