mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

Again for people (racists), complaining about falling birth rates:

The birth rate for women over 40 is not falling. The birth rate for women over 30 is not falling.

What's happening, is girls 15 to 17 are having fewer babies. Kids are having fewer kids.

Also, this is an interesting way of saying that "Teen pregnancy is down, due to sex education and contraception."

In 1991 25% of 15 year olds gave birth before they turned 21. That's bad. Now it's 6%. That's better.

https://npr.org/2023/01/08/1147737247/teen-pregnancy-rates-have-declined-significantly

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

Y'all are literally complaining that not enough white children aged 15 to 17 are getting pregnant.

Do you even hear yourselves?

You know y'all are saying this out loud right? And that other people can hear you?

I'm running out of ways to tell you that this is a good thing.

I don't know how much you know about anatomy or biology, or how long 9 months is... but the things required for a 15 year old to give birth, are not good.

Less of that is a good thing.

akareilly,
@akareilly@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke

These people are less concerned about maternal mortality than Margaret Beaufort. The one who died in 1509. "Medieval" would be a step up for the white supremacists.

tob,
@tob@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke The same people who decry "illegal immigration" but refuse to do anything about it are also freaking out about low birthrate and refusing to do anything about it.

Imagine having a worldview where there are only problems.

ArmyGirl,
@ArmyGirl@mastodon.world avatar

@mekkaokereke my mom and sister both had babies at 15. Agree NOT a good thing.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

👴🏻But Mekka! Without young people, our economy will collapse! We need fresh meat! I mean workers! To serve me! Always serving me!

🧔🏿‍♂️Young workers are smuggling themselves into the country, just to serve you. Will you let them?

👴🏻No! Illegal!

🤦🏿‍♂️
NYC has a 400K person blue collar worker shortage🤯

NYC has 10K+ legal migrants that want to work, but work permits are delayed.

If you were NYC mayor, would you:
a) Issue temporary work permits, and not enforce fed law?👍🏿

b) Make the migrants homeless?🤡

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

👴🏻But growing our population through immigration ain't natural! We should grow it like we've always grown it: through good old American procreation!

🧔🏿‍♂️A) Don't procreate with children. Not debating this.

🧔🏿‍♂️B) No, that's not how the US population grew

Shout out to all my fellow Americans that still believe in Santa, the Easter Bunny, and that the US population got to 350 million mostly white people, in only 400 years, due to the "hard work" of a few boatloads of frisky settlers.
🐇🐇💘

mekkaokereke, (edited )
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

But let's talk about replacing the births that girls aren't having as much anymore, with births that women can have.

  • Provide affordable housing
  • Provide reproductive rights, education, and care
  • Provide affordable healthcare and medical care
  • Provide affordable childcare
  • Provide women equal access to higher education and employment, and equal compensation

Then women that want to have kids choose to have kids.

derle,
@derle@framapiaf.org avatar

@mekkaokereke Maybe not so much of a problem in the US but I'd add provide affordable housing. Having more than one room is a bit of a prerequisite for having children amha

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@derle

You're so right!

Added!

gkemp,
@gkemp@hachyderm.io avatar

@derle @mekkaokereke I came here to say the same thing. 30 years ago someone 20 years old could afford a modest apartment in most of the US on a shit-wage job. Now a lot of 20 year olds in the same position live with their parents. Not negating or arguing your other points. But I was there, and I see how bad housing has become for young Americans.

thepoliticalcat,
@thepoliticalcat@mastodon.social avatar

@gkemp @derle @mekkaokereke When I was growing up, our parents made it very clear to us that as soon as we became legal adults, we were on our own. All our peers were in the same situation. Either they WANTED to leave, or were EXPECTED to, at 18. We shared apartments, and sometimes even rooms, but we got out from under our parents. And yes, it cost A LOT. We didn't all make enough to manage it, so side-hustles.

vfrmedia,
@vfrmedia@social.tchncs.de avatar

@thepoliticalcat @gkemp @derle @mekkaokereke in England it varied across ethnicities - white folk tended to leave home earlier whereas Asian and Black communities stayed in the family home longer, but nowadays multi-generational households are widespread for everyone (plus "boomerang" returns of young adult offspring when house shares and relationships fail or the young adults have financial problems)

ascherbaum,
@ascherbaum@mastodon.social avatar

@derle @mekkaokereke Dunno, many small one-room houses here:

https://maps.app.goo.gl/dfyX31ftkZWUi6pw5

Entire village built with one-room houses ;-)

(Yes, I know, it's a historic site today)

witch_of_winter,
@witch_of_winter@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke but Mekka that's not the point they only need more births because they want more worker drones for the factory. Why give the drones expensive things like health, housing and education. When all you need to do is remove their access to birth control and abortion. Force them to have children then workers are plentiful and easy to replace when they die due to awful conditions.

raphaelmorgan,
@raphaelmorgan@disabled.social avatar

@mekkaokereke not a woman but as an adult who can give birth, I fucking would if I could afford to have kids right now. Because of capitalism, I probably can't for a long time and maybe not ever. But if I could just be a stay at home parent or afford kids while working part time, I would. I know plenty of people in this category, but it's really not about birth rates and entirely about control. Forcing adults to know nothing but work and forcing kids to have kids

brinnbelyea,

@mekkaokereke Maybe some of the people who are against those things are against them because they know if women have those things, the women will not choose to reproduce with them or their sons.

Jackiemauro,
@Jackiemauro@fosstodon.org avatar

@mekkaokereke you can’t have a birth rate crisis and a border crisis at the same time. Unless you’re racist. So…

adambkaplan,
@adambkaplan@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke affordable childcare requires paid parental leave:

  1. Daycares compete with unpaid labor of parents (mostly women). Most staff (also women) are paid poverty wages.
  2. Infant care is a loss leader. Staff/child ratios make profits impossible - business makes up the loss in the 3/preK years.

Give parents a year to take care of their kids, and running a daycare becomes a more reasonable enterprise.

ajkandy,
@ajkandy@mastodon.social avatar

@adambkaplan @mekkaokereke In Quebec, subsidized (and regulated) daycares helped increase labor participation, particularly among single parents, and it lifted a lot of families out of poverty. This, in addition to a year of parental leave that can also be split between parents.

The program has flaws re: the early childhood education aspect, but did what it was supposed to do.

There’s a proposal from CAP to create a different US version based on tax credits. https://www.vox.com/2015/9/8/9262901/high-quality-child-care-tax-credit

freakazoid,
@freakazoid@retro.social avatar

@mekkaokereke

  • partners who actually participate in child rearing
  • bosses and coworkers who don't consider a child to be something that makes them less valuable
  • bosses and coworkers who will encourage their partner to take time off to help with child rearing just as much as they will encourage them to do so
Jennifer,
@Jennifer@bookstodon.com avatar

@mekkaokereke excellent post! It seems like the red states are hoping to "solve" the falling birth rate "problem" by banning abortion. More child labor! I kinda wonder if young people will rebel by just not having as much sex.

Npars01,
@Npars01@mstdn.social avatar
deathkitten,

@Npars01 @Jennifer @mekkaokereke Considering how hard those procedures used to be to access under 30 until Obamacare included them in the required coverage, watch that the next vector GOP is going to head for is trying to stop access to them unless you have a life threatening condition, have spit out multiple kids already, and are of a certain age (aka beyond ideal child bearing years).

I remember my mom telling me about how she'd asked for a tubal after my brother was born (her second child) and the doctor actually started to argue with her about it because she was still under 30 and well within her prime to have kids. She got it in the end, but the fact that it was still a fight after she had two healthy kids? Fuck that noise. We need to be prepared to defend this front for the kids coming up behind the zoomers, to make sure the door doesn't get closed for them again.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@deathkitten @Npars01 @Jennifer

Some doctors go so far as to imply that a woman needs spousal consent before tubal ligation.😮

https://www.businessinsider.com/a-woman-needed-husbands-consent-to-get-her-tubes-tied-2020-2

bynkii,
@bynkii@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke @deathkitten @Npars01 @Jennifer but a woman’s consent is never needed for a vasectomy. 🙄🫠

deathkitten,

@bynkii @mekkaokereke @Npars01 @Jennifer Of course not, because cis men have bodily autonomy!

bynkii,
@bynkii@mastodon.social avatar
Jennifer,
@Jennifer@bookstodon.com avatar

@bynkii @deathkitten @mekkaokereke @Npars01 I actually had to sign a consent when my husband got a vasectomy in Alabama. I was pretty shocked

bynkii,
@bynkii@mastodon.social avatar
deathkitten,

@mekkaokereke @Npars01 @Jennifer I think that was one of the arguments the doctor tried to throw at my mom. I've also heard from people in the childfree community where doctors would being up hypothetical husbands as well:

"What if your future husband wants kids?"
"You mean the one I haven't even met because I'm not dating anyone? Then clearly he's not the right husband for me."
"But."
"No."

Used to be that the husband's consent was needed for abortions in some states too.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@Jennifer

To some extent, that's already happening.🤷🏿‍♂️

When I say that a lot of straight men don't even like women, I'm not talking about sexual attraction. Yes, they are sexually attracted to women. But they don't like women. They don't want women to have agency, or autonomy. They don't want to have conversations with women.

Women feel that. It's impossible to ignore. So women are choosing not to date men that are so very loud about their "political" stance built around not liking women.

mathling,
@mathling@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke @Jennifer

Read an article about a poll. Headline: most American men think Trump respects women and vast majority of Republican men think so

I snorted my coffee, no lie

Well, if that is respect, it is any wonder women aren't interested in those guys?

KatM,
@KatM@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke Just say no to dating men who think women are beneath them. Nope. Move along. Plenty of decent men out there worth dating, if that's who you're into. Let's not validate the crummy ones or, heaven forbid, give them babies!

@Jennifer

PJ_Evans,
@PJ_Evans@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke
I know there are a lot of immigrants on my extended family tree. Like about 99% of them.

cavyherd,
@cavyherd@wandering.shop avatar

@PJ_Evans @mekkaokereke

Pretty sure nobody in my lineage was on this continent two hundred years ago.

chasseur,
@chasseur@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke This always gets me... America is one of the luckiest countries in the world in that millions of people want to come here and work. On average, every immigrant grows the economy and makes Americans richer. We can completely dodge the "demographic crisis" facing rich countries by just letting the people who want to come here in.

Are you a patriot who wants a strong and prosperous America? Then you better not be an anti-immigrant xenophobe.

chriswho,
@chriswho@mstdn.social avatar

@chasseur @mekkaokereke Modern American history just seems to be replete with folks only to happy to work and vote against their own interests.

I'm Canadian, and just taking into account the Syrian refugees by themselves, we've seen many not only do well but start business that then go on and employ dozens of Canadians or more.

Immigration is a win/win/win, but one has to actually want one's country to succeed no matter who's in government and that doesn't work for Conservatives.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@chriswho @chasseur

Yup.

The man on the left is a Syrian immigrant to the United States. His name is Abdulfattah Jandali. He moved here, started a restaurant, and had kids.

The man on the right is his son. He is Istefan bin Abdulfattah Jandali.

Istefan bin Abdulfattah Jandali

Which means

[Istefan], [son of] [Abdulfattah Jandali]

Which means

Steve, son of Abdulfattah Jandali

AKA

Steve Jobs

Sorry, your fave is 50% Syrian! 🇸🇾♥️

Photograph of Steve Jobs holding up an iPhone.

chriswho,
@chriswho@mstdn.social avatar

@mekkaokereke @chasseur Exactly. Immigration works for everyone. Immigrants hire others, pay taxes and generally enrich the culture. I've always been more of a fan of the cultural mosaic, where everyone brings their own unique style and identity that enriches the whole, as opposed to the melting pot where everyone becomes the same and folks lose a cultural identity.

bcdavid,
@bcdavid@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke @chriswho @chasseur I get what you are saying, but your description kind of leaves out the fact that Abdulfattah Jandali was from an extremely wealthy family.

ekis,
@ekis@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke Migration isn't natural? Then why do birds, and all those other animals that do it,.. you know do it, migrate.

Are they un-natural?

Should we murder them? Together? Camping together, telling scary stories. Boo! I'm an immigrant. But she is American, what!?

Its already hard enough as it is, and US if you haven't noticed likes picking random spots on the map and making them hard to live in.

bynkii,
@bynkii@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke my grandmother on my mom’s side was an immigrant.

raganwald,
@raganwald@social.bau-ha.us avatar

@mekkaokereke

“The reason it’s called ‘The American Dream’ is that you have to be asleep to believe it.”

—George Carlin (1937-2008)

MisuseCase,
@MisuseCase@twit.social avatar

@mekkaokereke I am super annoyed that a lot of liberals have accepted beefing up border enforcement as synonymous with “immigration reform” when what we really need is to expand USCIS and revamp processing to fix the kind of problem you are talking about, so people can get legal residency more easily among other things.

ShiitakeToast,
@ShiitakeToast@beige.party avatar

@MisuseCase @mekkaokereke real immigration reform would also involve significant aid packages to other countries paid for by imposing severe consequences on US companies that caused the humanitarian and environmental crises in other countries in the first place. And somehow convincing the CIA that human rights movements aren’t the red menace.

MisuseCase,
@MisuseCase@twit.social avatar

@ShiitakeToast @mekkaokereke I forgot who proposed a “Marshall Plan for Central America,” was it Reuben Gallego? He had the right idea.

ShiitakeToast,
@ShiitakeToast@beige.party avatar

@MisuseCase @mekkaokereke but also holy crap about the falling birth rate thing! I knew that teen pregnancy was down, but I didn’t know that’s what these people were complaining about. Yikes!

3dogcouch,
@3dogcouch@mas.to avatar

@mekkaokereke

When I was a first year college student in 1974 I remember looking through my high school yearbook & one out of 3 (rural white & native) girls who had graduated with me a few months earlier was pregnant, had a child, was married, or/& was dead.

The past was not bucolic glory. Twas widespread fear, resignation, & despair, & did not build character.

You are right. Sex ed works. Contraception & abortion work. Equality works. College aid works. Opportunity works. Progress exists.

Wraithe,
@Wraithe@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke I’ve said it before in mazillions of ways but the second someone starts taking about being talking that the “birth rate” is down is some kind of valid human survival concern I simply say:

“Call me back when the human population of the Earth has dropped down to 3.5 Billion, and I’ll still laugh at you because that was the population the year ‘the population bomb’ was written predicting massive famine deaths in the ‘near future’ (1970’s) due to overpopulation.”

tdwllms1,
@tdwllms1@mstdn.social avatar

@mekkaokereke

What's happening, is girls 15 to 17 are having fewer babies. Kids are having fewer kids.

and the maga-gop are doing everything in their power to reverse that trend, up to an including forcing 13 year old's to carry their rapist babies....

econads,
@econads@chaos.social avatar

@mekkaokereke @tfardet
So I can't argue back at "environmentalists" saying we need to get the population down (I read that as "people on a dollar a day need to have less kids", which doesn't have that much effect) by saying rising standards of living will take care of that? Well bum.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@econads @tfardet

This is unrelated to standards of living, or "overpopulation," (which is always thinly veiled racism).

You can lower the teen birth rate just by giving kids access to contraception, teaching them about sex education, that they are in control of what happens to their own bodies, that some youth pastors are creeps, and most importantly, that they can choose to be a wife and have kids, or, they can just... choose to not do any of that, and it's all fine either way. Choice.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@econads @tfardet

Case in point:

The argument usually goes that increasing standards of living always results in decreased birth rate. An inverse correlation.

But... the US standard of living declined from 2010 to 2020, and the birth rate also declined. Positive correlation.

Because the teen birth rate is correlated with teens having "information and choice," not "standard of living."

Folks think that higher standard of living always correlates with info and choice, but this is not true.

LordOryx,
@LordOryx@ludosphere.fr avatar

@mekkaokereke I don’t understand the last parapgraph. Does that mean that 25% of girls/women that were 15 in 1991 gave birth before they turned 21?

Or that in 1991 specifically, 25% of birthing girls/women were under the age of 21? But in that case I don’t understand where the 15 years old comes from.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@LordOryx

Your 1st paragraph is correct.

JMarkOckerbloom,
@JMarkOckerbloom@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke While I don't consider either birth or immigration rates to be in "crisis", and I'm glad teen pregnancy is down, the vast majority of births in the US involve neither teens nor folks over 40.

Looking at the CDC report, the highest birth rates are for 25-35 (with 20-24 & 35-39 about half theirs) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr035.pdf and compared to 2006 (a reference year in another table I found: https://usafacts.org/articles/how-have-us-fertility-and-birth-rates-changed-over-time/ ) all those are down (some by a lot) except 35-39, which is about the same.

mekkaokereke,
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io avatar

@JMarkOckerbloom

Yes, and...

We can't just look at fertility rate by age cohort. We also have to look at the percentage of population that is in that age cohort, to determine impact.

Most people in the US are white, and most white people are old. The most common age for a white US person is ~58.🤷🏿‍♂️

The chart you shared above shows that the birth rate for women aged 30 to 39 was increasing slightly. The chart below shows that women aged 30 to 39 account for 45.9% of all live births in the US

bynkii,
@bynkii@mastodon.social avatar

@mekkaokereke what about the birth rate for 20-30?

Di4na,
@Di4na@hachyderm.io avatar

@mekkaokereke There is a bit of a drop-down in the 20s, especially the late 20s, which is saying something about economic conditions. But hot damn is it now about "make more babies", more a "maybe this can be a proxy to show some economical shitshow are having impact on people".

And also, urgh, the whole racist "we need more white babies" shtick. Fucking racists.

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